Here’s someone else who doesn’t see the incentive for Assad to use chemical weapons…
In both cases – 2013 and 2017 – there were strong reasons to doubt Assad’s responsibility. In 2013, he had just invited United Nations inspectors into Syria to investigate cases of alleged rebel use of chemical weapons and thus it made no sense that he would launch a sarin attack in the Damascus suburbs, guaranteeing that the U.N. inspectors would be diverted to that case.
Similarly, now, Assad’s military has gained a decisive advantage over the rebels and he had just scored a major diplomatic victory with the Trump administration’s announcement that the U.S. was no longer seeking regime change” in Syria. The savvy Assad would know that a chemical weapon attack now would likely result in U.S. retaliation and jeopardize the gains that his military has achieved with Russian and Iranian help.
Any person who is not simply knee-jerking around for political advantage realizes that Assad has absolutely zero incentive to use chemical weapons.
But here’s more….including why whatever agent was released in the bombing…it wasn’t sarin gas…
- The Russians briefed the United States on the proposed target. This is a process that started more than two months ago. There is a dedicated phone line that is being used to coordinate and deconflict (i.e., prevent US and Russian air assets from shooting at each other) the upcoming operation.
- The United States was fully briefed on the fact that there was a target in Idlib that the Russians believes was a weapons/explosives depot for Islamic rebels.
- The Syrian Air Force hit the target with conventional weapons. All involved expected to see a massive secondary explosion. That did not happen. Instead, smoke, chemical smoke, began billowing from the site. It turns out that the Islamic rebels used that site to store chemicals, not sarin, that were deadly. The chemicals included organic phosphates and chlorine and they followed the wind and killed civilians.
- There was a strong wind blowing that day and the cloud was driven to a nearby village and caused casualties.
- We know it was not sarin. How? Very simple. The so-called “first responders” handled the victims without gloves. If this had been sarin they would have died. Sarin on the skin will kill you. How do I know? I went through “Live Agent” training at Fort McClellan in Alabama.
That’s from someone with experience in these matters.
Donald has been receiving praise from, yes, “establishment” media, the “enemy” of the people, over ordering the launch of those fucking “beautiful” weapons….weapons that were allegedly sent on their mission from the airfield that was still perfectly in tact after the fucking “retaliation”. What sense does any of that make? I mean, other than pumping fists and shouting USA, USA, USA. After the U.S. Tomahawks were wasted….the airstrip was still perfectly in tact….planes flew out the very next day.
I’ve mentioned in the past that the only policy where there is still bipartisanship in Congress is…war. America is the most blood-thirsty nation on earth…again, you may disagree…but it’s still true. And it would appear that blowing shit up in foreign countries, preferably Muslim countries, is the only thing that unites our reds and blues anymore.
One final thought. We’re being told by Tillerson, Spicer, etc that Donald had to take action because chemical agents are present inside Syria…and those chemical agents might get into the hands of “bad people”…who might use them against U.S. military members whom Assad has not invited into his country. I think that is the flimsiest bunch of bullshit I’ve heard recently. Chemical agents have been used some 20 times in the ISIS battle over Mosul, Iraq…..all by jihadist types. Is Trump aware of that? Does he care?
What do you think?